Genk

0 - 0

Antwerp

Home Fortress Genk: 7-Game Unbeaten Run at Home.

Tue, May 19, 2026 18:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 40%
Away: 20%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.78 - 3.03 - 3.23)
HOMETEAM: 36%
33%
AWAYTEAM: 31%

Genk (Fact Index 2.78): Expected Win % is 36%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Antwerp (Fact Index 3.23): Expected Win % is 31%, compared to a 20% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
30%
AWAY : 20%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 44%
28%
Underdog : 28%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Genk : 43% (▲ 7%)
29% (▼ 4%)
Antwerp : 28% (▼ 3%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Genk | 0.368 | 0.512 | ▲ 0.144
T | Antwerp | 0.316 | 0.449 | ▲ 0.133
H | Genk | 0.368 | 0.554 | ▲ 0.186
A | Antwerp | 0.263 | 0.417 | ▲ 0.154
P | Genk | 0.333 | 0.608 | ▲ 0.275
P | Antwerp | 0.500 | 0.371 | ▼ 0.129
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.2 - 1.2 (Model B.4)
Genk : 36% (-)
29% (▼ 4%)
Antwerp : 35% (▲ 4%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.6 - 3.9 - 5.1
Genk : 57% (▲ 21%)
24% (▼ 9%)
Antwerp : 19% (▼ 12%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 33%
AWAY : 10%

Hometeam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 74%
D : 13%
AWAY : 13%

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