Incheon Utd

0 - 1

Gangwon

Gangwon dominance: Incheon Utd drop 4th straight matchup. Meanwhile, Gangwon Rules the Road: 3rd Straight Away Victory.

Sat, May 2, 2026 07:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 20%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.56 - 4.35 - 2.63)
HOMETEAM: 39%
23%
AWAYTEAM: 38%

Incheon Utd (Fact Index 2.56): Expected Win % is 39%, compared to a 35% actual win rate for identical index values.

Gangwon (Fact Index 2.63): Expected Win % is 38%, compared to a 45% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 35%
20%
AWAY : 45%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 31%
15%
Underdog : 54%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Incheon Utd : 37% (▼ 2%)
25% (▲ 2%)
Gangwon : 38% (-)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Incheon Utd | 0.400 | 0.478 | ▲ 0.078
T | Gangwon | 0.300 | 0.617 | ▲ 0.317
H | Incheon Utd | 0.400 | 0.408 | ▲ 0.008
A | Gangwon | 0.400 | 0.629 | ▲ 0.229
P | Incheon Utd | 0.667 | 0.629 | ▼ 0.038
P | Gangwon | 0.500 | 0.767 | ▲ 0.267
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 3.0 - 3.0 - 2.5
Incheon Utd : 31% (▼ 8%)
31% (▲ 8%)
Gangwon : 38% (-)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 13%
D : 60%
AWAY : 27%

Awayteam = 2.5 Trend:

HOME : 17%
D : 33%
AWAY : 50%

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