Botafogo RJ

2 - 2

Coritiba

Resilient Botafogo RJ: 3 matches, zero defeats. Meanwhile, Coritiba Tie Loop: 3rd Straight Draw.

Sun, Apr 12, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 40%
Away: 20%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.86 - 5.00 - 2.22)
HOMETEAM: 35%
20%
AWAYTEAM: 45%

Weight: [Close] (15.79)
Intensity: [Extreme] (84.21)

Botafogo RJ (Fact Index 2.86):
Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 25% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Coritiba (Fact Index 2.22):
Expected Win % is 45%, compared to a 58% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Botafogo RJ:
T : 0.444 (0.444 / -)
P : 0.500 (0.383 / ▲0.117)

Coritiba:
T : 0.400 (0.531 / ▼0.131)
A : 0.600 (0.592 / ▲0.008)
P : 0.500 (0.629 / ▼0.129)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
100%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
100%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 12 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 25%
17%
AWAY : 58%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 10 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 60%
10%
Underdog : 30%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Botafogo RJ : 42% (▲ 7%)
20% (-)
Coritiba : 38% (▼ 7%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.7 - 1.1 (Model B.4)
Botafogo RJ : 46% (▲ 11%)
23% (▲ 3%)
Coritiba : 31% (▼ 14%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 57.1%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 3.6 - 4.7
Botafogo RJ : 54% (▲ 19%)
26% (▲ 6%)
Coritiba : 20% (▼ 25%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 11 game(s)

HOME : 55%
D : 45%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (54%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 27%
AWAY : 10%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 37%
AWAY : 10%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (54%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 70%
D : 17%
AWAY : 13%


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