Cruz Azul

4 - 3

América

Unstoppable Cruz Azul Clinch 3rd Straight Victory.

Sun, Sep 13, 2026 03:15 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 40%
Away: 20%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.94 - 6.25 - 2.00)
HOMETEAM: 34%
16%
AWAYTEAM: 50%

Weight: [Close] (29.41)
Intensity: [Fierce] (70.59)

Cruz Azul (Fact Index 2.94):
Expected Win % is 34%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

América (Fact Index 2.00):
Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Cruz Azul:
T : 0.571 (0.528 / ▲0.043)
H : 0.500 (0.441 / ▲0.059)
P : 0.500 (0.500 / -)

América:
T : 0.833 (0.911 / ▼0.078)
P : 0.833 (0.911 / ▼0.078)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
0%
Underdog : 100%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 5 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 60%
0%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 4 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 25%
50%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Cruz Azul : 36% (▲ 2%)
21% (▲ 5%)
América : 43% (▼ 7%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 0.9 - 1.4 (Model B.4)
Cruz Azul : 23% (▼ 11%)
30% (▲ 14%)
América : 47% (▼ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 95.2%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.9 - 3.4 - 2.3
Cruz Azul : 32% (▼ 2%)
27% (▲ 11%)
América : 41% (▼ 9%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 7 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%

Based on Away team = 2.3 (41%) Trend: 19 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 11%
AWAY : 52%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 37%
AWAY : 30%

Based on Away team = 2.3 (41%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 30%
AWAY : 33%


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