Brentford

4 - 1

Bournemouth

Sat, Dec 27, 2025 15:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 63%
D: 38%
Away: 0%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.08 - 3.03 - 5.26)
HOMETEAM: 48%
33%
AWAYTEAM: 19%

Brentford (Fact Index 2.08): Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.

Bournemouth (Fact Index 5.26): Expected Win % is 19%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 67%
0%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 75%
0%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Brentford : 62% (▲ 14%)
29% (▼ 4%)
Bournemouth : 10% (▼ 9%)


Average Odds : 2.3 - 3.6 - 3.0
Brentford : 42% (▼ 6%)
27% (▼ 6%)
Bournemouth : 32% (▲ 13%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 13%
AWAY : 40%

Hometeam = 2.3 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 30%
AWAY : 13%

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