Lille

1 - 1

Lorient

Invincible: Lille go 5 matches without defeat. Meanwhile, Momentum: 4 matches without a blemish for Lorient.

Sun, Mar 8, 2026 16:15 (UTC)


Facts

Lille :
Matías Fernández 65'
Lorient :
Arthur Avom Ebong 90' +3
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 10%
Away: 30%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.63 - 3.33 - 3.13)
HOMETEAM: 38%
30%
AWAYTEAM: 32%

Lille (Fact Index 2.63): Expected Win % is 38%, compared to a 64% actual win rate for identical index values.

Lorient (Fact Index 3.13): Expected Win % is 32%, compared to a 13% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 64%
23%
AWAY : 13%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
33%
Underdog : 17%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Lille : 44% (▲ 6%)
25% (▼ 5%)
Lorient : 31% (▼ 1%)


Average Odds : 1.6 - 4.1 - 5.6
Lille : 59% (▲ 21%)
24% (▼ 6%)
Lorient : 17% (▼ 15%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 63%
D : 20%
AWAY : 17%

Hometeam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 64%
D : 23%
AWAY : 13%

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