Gwangju

0 - 0

Gangwon

Gangwon Road Warriors: 4-Match Unbeaten Streak.

Sat, May 9, 2026 07:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 20%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (7.69 - 5.88 - 1.43)
HOMETEAM: 13%
17%
AWAYTEAM: 70%

Gwangju (Fact Index 7.69): Expected Win % is 13%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Gangwon (Fact Index 1.43): Expected Win % is 70%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 0%
33%
AWAY : 67%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 67%
33%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 2.5 (Model A.)
Gwangju : 19% (▲ 6%)
18% (▲ 1%)
Gangwon : 63% (▼ 7%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Gwangju | 0.083 | 0.122 | ▲ 0.039
T | Gangwon | 0.333 | 0.629 | ▲ 0.296
H | Gwangju | 0.200 | 0.224 | ▲ 0.024
A | Gangwon | 0.500 | 0.674 | ▲ 0.174
P | Gwangju | 0.000 | 0.074 | ▲ 0.074
P | Gangwon | 0.500 | 0.742 | ▲ 0.242
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Goals (xG) : 0.4 - 2.2 (Model B.4)
Gwangju : 8% (▼ 5%)
14% (▼ 3%)
Gangwon : 78% (▲ 8%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 8.6 - 4.3 - 1.4
Gwangju : 11% (▼ 2%)
22% (▲ 5%)
Gangwon : 67% (▼ 3%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 0%
D : 50%
AWAY : 50%

Awayteam = 1.4 Trend:

HOME : 23%
D : 27%
AWAY : 50%

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