Wolves

2 - 0

Aston Villa

Unbeaten at Home: Wolves's Run Hits 2.

Fri, Feb 27, 2026 20:00 (UTC)


Facts

Wolves :
Rodrigo Gomes 90' +8
João Gomes 61'
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 20%
Away: 30%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (5.56 - 4.76 - 1.64)
HOMETEAM: 18%
21%
AWAYTEAM: 61%

Wolves (Fact Index 5.56): Expected Win % is 18%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.

Aston Villa (Fact Index 1.64): Expected Win % is 61%, compared to a 20% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 60%
20%
AWAY : 20%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 25%
0%
Underdog : 75%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Wolves : 28% (▲ 10%)
23% (▲ 2%)
Aston Villa : 49% (▼ 12%)


Average Odds : 4.0 - 3.7 - 1.9
Wolves : 24% (▲ 6%)
26% (▲ 5%)
Aston Villa : 50% (▼ 11%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 17%
D : 27%
AWAY : 56%

Awayteam = 1.9 Trend:

HOME : 33%
D : 30%
AWAY : 37%

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