Corinthians

1 - 0

Atletico MG

Corinthians remains rock solid in their last 4 home fixtures.

Sun, May 24, 2026 21:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 38%
Away: 13%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.44 - 4.00 - 2.94)
HOMETEAM: 41%
25%
AWAYTEAM: 34%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (31.58)
Intensity: [Fierce] (68.42)

Corinthians (Fact Index 2.44):
Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 34% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

Atletico MG (Fact Index 2.94):
Expected Win % is 34%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Corinthians:
T : 0.250 (0.419 / ▼0.169)
H : 0.375 (0.500 / ▼0.125)
P : 0.333 (0.450 / ▼0.117)

Atletico MG:
T : 0.375 (0.485 / ▼0.110)
A : 0.250 (0.428 / ▼0.178)
P : 0.333 (0.386 / ▼0.053)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 4 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
50%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 4 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
50%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 34%
33%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 27 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 33%
41%
Underdog : 26%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Corinthians : 36% (▼ 5%)
23% (▼ 2%)
Atletico MG : 41% (▲ 7%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 0.9 - 0.9 (Model B.4)
Corinthians : 42% (▲ 1%)
25% (-)
Atletico MG : 33% (▼ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 81%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 3.3 - 5.0
Corinthians : 53% (▲ 12%)
28% (▲ 3%)
Atletico MG : 19% (▼ 15%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 4 game(s)

HOME : 100%
D : 0%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (53%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 23%
AWAY : 17%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 23%
AWAY : 20%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (53%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 30%
AWAY : 17%


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