Augsburg

2 - 2

Hoffenheim

A run of 2 draws for Augsburg.

Fri, Apr 10, 2026 18:30 (UTC)


Facts

Augsburg :
Alexis Claude-Maurice 85' Missed Pen.
Michael Gregoritsch 14' (J. Gouweleeuw)
Alexis Claude-Maurice 11' (R. Fellhauer)
Hoffenheim :
Bazoumana Touré 42' (F. Asllani)
Robin Hranáč 35' (V. Coufal)
Goal From An Impossible Angle! | FC AUGSBURG - HOFFENHEIM | Highlights | Matchday 29 – Bundesliga
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 10%
D: 40%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.85 - 3.33 - 2.27)
HOMETEAM: 26%
30%
AWAYTEAM: 44%

Augsburg (Fact Index 3.85): Expected Win % is 26%, compared to a 34% actual win rate for identical index values.

Hoffenheim (Fact Index 2.27): Expected Win % is 44%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 34%
33%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 36%
32%
Underdog : 32%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Augsburg : 38% (▲ 12%)
24% (▼ 6%)
Hoffenheim : 38% (▼ 6%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Augsburg | 0.321 | 0.371 | ▲ 0.050
T | Hoffenheim | 0.536 | 0.594 | ▲ 0.058
H | Augsburg | 0.429 | 0.425 | ▼ 0.004
A | Hoffenheim | 0.500 | 0.526 | ▲ 0.026
P | Augsburg | 0.333 | 0.408 | ▲ 0.075
P | Hoffenheim | 0.167 | 0.347 | ▲ 0.180
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 3.4 - 3.7 - 2.1
Augsburg : 29% (▲ 3%)
26% (▼ 4%)
Hoffenheim : 45% (▲ 1%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 20%
D : 37%
AWAY : 43%

Awayteam = 2.1 Trend:

HOME : 27%
D : 23%
AWAY : 50%

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