Pachuca

1 - 1

Guadalajara Chivas

Pachuca remains in a win-draw cycle: 2 consecutive stalemates. However, 5-Match Unbeaten Streak for Guadalajara Chivas.

Sat, Aug 29, 2026 23:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 44%
Away: 56%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (5.56 - 5.26 - 1.59)
HOMETEAM: 18%
19%
AWAYTEAM: 63%

Weight: [Distant] (64.71)
Intensity: [Tilted] (35.29)

Pachuca (Fact Index 5.56):
Expected Win % is 18%, compared to a 14% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Guadalajara Chivas (Fact Index 1.59):
Expected Win % is 63%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Pachuca:
T : 0.200 (0.500 / ▼0.300)
P : 0.200 (0.500 / ▼0.300)

Guadalajara Chivas:
T : 0.600 (0.648 / ▼0.048)
P : 0.600 (0.648 / ▼0.048)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
100%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
100%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 14 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 14%
36%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 11 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 64%
36%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.2 - 1.3 (Model A.)
Pachuca : 28% (▲ 10%)
23% (▲ 4%)
Guadalajara Chivas : 49% (▼ 14%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 0.7 - 1.5 (Model B.4)
Pachuca : 13% (▼ 5%)
25% (▲ 6%)
Guadalajara Chivas : 62% (▼ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 76.2%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 3.2 - 3.4 - 2.1
Pachuca : 29% (▲ 11%)
27% (▲ 8%)
Guadalajara Chivas : 44% (▼ 19%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 8 game(s)

HOME : 25%
D : 50%
AWAY : 25%

Based on Away team = 2.1 (44%) Trend: 16 game(s)

HOME : 25%
D : 37%
AWAY : 38%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 13%
D : 47%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Away team = 2.1 (44%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 30%
D : 33%
AWAY : 37%


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