Marseille

1 - 0

Auxerre

Home form is rock solid: Marseille has gone 4 matches at home without a loss.

Fri, Mar 13, 2026 19:45 (UTC)


Facts

Score Line :
0-0, 1-0
Marseille :
Amine Gouiri 79'
Marseille vs Auxerre | 1-0 | Highlights | Ligue 1 McDonald's 2025-26 | marseille auxerre
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 71%
D: 0%
Away: 29%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.27 - 4.00 - 3.23)
HOMETEAM: 44%
25%
AWAYTEAM: 31%

Marseille (Fact Index 2.27): Expected Win % is 44%, compared to a 44% actual win rate for identical index values.

Auxerre (Fact Index 3.23): Expected Win % is 31%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 44%
6%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 27%
9%
Underdog : 64%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Marseille : 41% (▼ 3%)
25% (-)
Auxerre : 34% (▲ 3%)


Average Odds : 1.5 - 4.6 - 6.7
Marseille : 65% (▲ 21%)
21% (▼ 4%)
Auxerre : 14% (▼ 17%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 67%
D : 30%
AWAY : 3%

Hometeam = 1.5 Trend:

HOME : 70%
D : 17%
AWAY : 13%

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