Fulham

3 - 1

Burnley

Fulham: 2 Straight Wins Over Burnley. Meanwhile, Burnley Road Trip Hell: 2nd Straight Away Loss.

Sat, Mar 21, 2026 15:00 (UTC)


Facts

Fulham :
Raúl Jiménez 90' +5 (Pen.)
Harry Wilson 73'
Joshua King 67'
Burnley :
Josh Laurent 90' +3 RED
Zian Flemming 60'
COMEBACK AT THE COTTAGE | JOSH, HARRY & RAUL STRIKE BACK | FULHAM 3-1 BURNLEY
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 29%
D: 29%
Away: 43%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.17 - 4.00 - 3.45)
HOMETEAM: 46%
25%
AWAYTEAM: 29%

Fulham (Fact Index 2.17): Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 54% actual win rate for identical index values.

Burnley (Fact Index 3.45): Expected Win % is 29%, compared to a 23% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 54%
23%
AWAY : 23%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
27%
Underdog : 23%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Fulham : 42% (▼ 4%)
25% (-)
Burnley : 33% (▲ 4%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Fulham | 0.400 | 0.477 | ▲ 0.077
T | Burnley | 0.133 | 0.316 | ▲ 0.183
H | Fulham | 0.533 | 0.592 | ▲ 0.059
A | Burnley | 0.133 | 0.281 | ▲ 0.148
P | Fulham | 0.333 | 0.408 | ▲ 0.075
P | Burnley | 0.167 | 0.357 | ▲ 0.190
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 1.6 - 4.1 - 6.1
Fulham : 60% (▲ 14%)
24% (▼ 1%)
Burnley : 16% (▼ 13%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 70%
D : 17%
AWAY : 13%

Hometeam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 70%
D : 13%
AWAY : 17%

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