Luxembourg

0 - 1

Italy

Refusing to Yield: Italy’s 5-match unbeaten run.

Wed, Jun 3, 2026 18:45 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 0%
Away: 100%

Home vs Away

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.57 - 3.23 - 2.44)
HOMETEAM: 28%
31%
AWAYTEAM: 41%

Luxembourg (Fact Index 3.57): Expected Win % is 28%, compared to a 17% actual win rate for identical index values.

Italy (Fact Index 2.44): Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 17%
33%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 46%
27%
Underdog : 27%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Luxembourg : 27% (▼ 1%)
29% (▼ 2%)
Italy : 44% (▲ 3%)


Average Odds : 5.8 - 3.9 - 1.6
Luxembourg : 16% (▼ 12%)
24% (▼ 7%)
Italy : 60% (▲ 19%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 10%
D : 29%
AWAY : 61%

Awayteam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 20%
D : 10%
AWAY : 70%

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