Guadalajara Chivas

3 - 0

Pumas UNAM

Milestone: Guadalajara Chivas hit 7 matches without a loss. Meanwhile, Pumas UNAM Road Trip Hell: 2nd Straight Away Loss.

Mon, Sep 14, 2026 01:07 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 20%
Away: 20%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.17 - 3.57 - 3.85)
HOMETEAM: 46%
28%
AWAYTEAM: 26%

Weight: [Close] (29.41)
Intensity: [Fierce] (70.59)

Guadalajara Chivas (Fact Index 2.17):
Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 67% in this event.

Pumas UNAM (Fact Index 3.85):
Expected Win % is 26%, compared to a 18% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 33% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Guadalajara Chivas:
T : 0.571 (0.711 / ▼0.140)
A : 0.500 (0.807 / ▼0.307)
P : 0.667 (0.807 / ▼0.140)

Pumas UNAM:
T : 0.429 (0.565 / ▼0.136)
H : 0.250 (0.428 / ▼0.178)
P : 0.500 (0.687 / ▼0.187)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 67%
0%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 67%
0%
Underdog : 33%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 28 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
25%
AWAY : 18%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 20 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 60%
25%
Underdog : 15%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.8 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Guadalajara Chivas : 49% (▲ 3%)
26% (▼ 2%)
Pumas UNAM : 25% (▼ 1%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 0.9 (Model B.4)
Guadalajara Chivas : 52% (▲ 6%)
28% (-)
Pumas UNAM : 20% (▼ 6%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 85.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.5 - 4.3 - 6.0
Guadalajara Chivas : 63% (▲ 17%)
21% (▼ 7%)
Pumas UNAM : 15% (▼ 11%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 2 game(s)

HOME : 100%
D : 0%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 1.5 (63%) Trend: 20 game(s)

HOME : 65%
D : 30%
AWAY : 5%


Football

Odds Trend: 14 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 29%
AWAY : 14%

Based on Home team = 1.5 (63%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 64%
D : 13%
AWAY : 23%


User's choice

Voting has closed.

You're the first!

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy