Sanfrecce Hiroshima

1 - 1

AP (4-5)

Vissel Kobe

Unbeaten at Home: Sanfrecce Hiroshima's Run Hits 4.

Wed, May 6, 2026 06:00 (UTC)


Facts

Sanfrecce Hiroshima :
Kato Mutsuki 42'
Vissel Kobe :
Ren Komatsu 63'
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 20%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.70 - 4.76 - 1.92)
HOMETEAM: 27%
21%
AWAYTEAM: 52%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Fact Index 3.70): Expected Win % is 27%, compared to a 44% actual win rate for identical index values.

Vissel Kobe (Fact Index 1.92): Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 26% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 44%
30%
AWAY : 26%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 42%
37%
Underdog : 21%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima : 26% (▼ 1%)
23% (▲ 2%)
Vissel Kobe : 51% (▼ 1%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0.357 | 0.518 | ▲ 0.161
T | Vissel Kobe | 0.538 | 0.622 | ▲ 0.084
H | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0.429 | 0.629 | ▲ 0.200
A | Vissel Kobe | 0.333 | 0.500 | ▲ 0.167
P | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0.333 | 0.550 | ▲ 0.217
P | Vissel Kobe | 0.667 | 0.565 | ▼ 0.102
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Goals (xG) : 0.8 - 1.3 (Model B.4)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima : 22% (▼ 5%)
29% (▲ 8%)
Vissel Kobe : 49% (▼ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.3 - 3.7
Sanfrecce Hiroshima : 47% (▲ 20%)
28% (▲ 7%)
Vissel Kobe : 25% (▼ 27%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 37%
D : 20%
AWAY : 43%

Hometeam = 2.0 Trend:

HOME : 33%
D : 23%
AWAY : 44%

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