Bahia is showcasing its dominance at home with an unbeaten run of 3 games. Conversely, 4-Game Losing Streak Plagues Chapecoense.
Fri, Jul 17, 2026 22:30 (UTC)
Last 10 games
Home team Side
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Bahia (Fact Index 2.17):
Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.
Chapecoense (Fact Index 5.00):
Expected Win % is 20%, compared to a 18% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.
Bahia:
T : 0.412 (0.527 / ▼0.115)
H : 0.333 (0.608 / ▼0.275)
A : 0.500 (0.446 / ▲0.054)
P : 0.167 (0.469 / ▼0.302)
Chapecoense:
T : 0.059 (0.297 / ▼0.238)
H : 0.111 (0.364 / ▼0.253)
A : 0.000 (0.178 / ▼0.178)
P : 0.000 (0.313 / ▼0.313)
* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)
Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.
Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time
The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds
Results of the same FACT INDEX : 17 Game(s) In real-time
The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 13 Game(s) in Average Odds
Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 57.1%
Fact Index - Prediction Variance
Data Source: Oddsportal
Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance
Odds Trend: 2 game(s)
Based on Home team = 1.4 (66%) Trend: 22 game(s)
Odds Trend: 30 game(s)
Based on Home team = 1.4 (66%) Trend: 30 game(s)
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WaveFlow Sports Lab's FactIndex and metrics are built on real-time match data. But remember, we do not account for starting lineups, injuries, player absences, or weather. Since we track data by specific years and leagues, you might find less data at the beginning of a season. Please use this guide as a supporting tool for your predictions—after all, anything can happen in sports!
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Disclaimer: Metrics are based on historical match data but exclude lineups, injuries, and weather. Data may be limited early in the season. All content is for reference only. In sports, the outcome is always unpredictable.
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