Angers

0 - 1

Lille

Lille dominance: Angers drop 4th straight matchup. However, Tactical Masterclass: Lille reach 3 without dropping all points.

Sun, Feb 22, 2026 16:15 (UTC)


Facts

Lille :
Olivier Giroud 45' +2 (Pen.)
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 20%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.94 - 6.25 - 2.00)
HOMETEAM: 34%
16%
AWAYTEAM: 50%

Angers (Fact Index 2.94): Expected Win % is 34%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Lille (Fact Index 2.00): Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 33%
67%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Angers : 32% (▼ 2%)
18% (▲ 2%)
Lille : 50% (-)


Average Odds : 4.5 - 3.6 - 1.8
Angers : 21% (▼ 13%)
26% (▲ 10%)
Lille : 53% (▲ 3%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 20%
D : 23%
AWAY : 57%

Awayteam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 27%
D : 17%
AWAY : 56%

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