Toulouse

2 - 1

Lyon

Points Piling Up: Toulouse reach 3 games unbeaten.

Sun, May 10, 2026 19:00 (UTC)

Facts

  • Points Piling Up: Toulouse reach 3 games unbeaten.
  • Toulouse secure 2nd consecutive victory against Lyon.
  • Toulouse are riding a wave of 2 consecutive wins.
  • Home form is rock solid: Toulouse has gone 2 matches at home without a loss.

    • FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
    HEAD TO HEAD

    Last 10 games

    Home: 25%
    D: 25%
    Away: 50%

    Home vs Away

    Away vs Home

    These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

    FACT INDEX (3.33 - 3.70 - 2.33)
    HOMETEAM: 30%
    27%
    AWAYTEAM: 43%

    Toulouse (Fact Index 3.33): Expected Win % is 30%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Lyon (Fact Index 2.33): Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

    HOME : 33%
    17%
    AWAY : 50%

    The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

    Favorite : 53%
    18%
    Underdog : 29%

    PREDICTION
    Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 2.0 (Model A.)
    Toulouse : 30% (-)
    24% (▼ 3%)
    Lyon : 46% (▲ 3%)

    |Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
    T | Toulouse | 0.344 | 0.500 | ▲ 0.156
    T | Lyon | 0.563 | 0.635 | ▲ 0.072
    H | Toulouse | 0.313 | 0.500 | ▲ 0.187
    A | Lyon | 0.375 | 0.531 | ▲ 0.156
    P | Toulouse | 0.333 | 0.347 | ▲ 0.014
    P | Lyon | 0.667 | 0.668 | ▲ 0.001
    T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

    Average Odds : 4.4 - 3.9 - 1.8
    Toulouse : 22% (▼ 8%)
    24% (▼ 3%)
    Lyon : 54% (▲ 11%)

    Odds Trend:

    HOME : 20%
    D : 40%
    AWAY : 40%

    Awayteam = 1.8 Trend:

    HOME : 27%
    D : 17%
    AWAY : 56%

    Toulouse

    Last 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-03 Strasbourg 1 - 2 Toulouse
    Ligue 1 2026-04-25 Toulouse 2 - 2 Monaco
    Coupe de France 2026-04-21 Lens 4 - 1 Toulouse

    Next 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-17 Nantes - Toulouse


    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

    Lyon

    Last 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-03 Lyon 4 - 2 Rennes
    Ligue 1 2026-04-25 Lyon 3 - 2 Auxerre
    Ligue 1 2026-04-19 PSG 1 - 2 Lyon

    Next 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-17 Lyon - Lens


    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

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