Remo

1 - 0

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo Road Trip Hell: 5th Straight Away Loss.

Sun, May 31, 2026 23:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 100%
D: 0%
Away: 0%

Home team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.94 - 3.23 - 2.86)
HOMETEAM: 34%
31%
AWAYTEAM: 35%

Weight: [Distant] (63.16)
Intensity: [Tilted] (36.84)

Remo (Fact Index 2.94):
Expected Win % is 34%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 40% in this event.

Sao Paulo (Fact Index 2.86):
Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 60% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Remo:
T : 0.176 (0.382 / ▼0.206)
H : 0.125 (0.469 / ▼0.344)
P : 0.333 (0.435 / ▼0.102)

Sao Paulo:
T : 0.412 (0.562 / ▼0.150)
A : 0.222 (0.383 / ▼0.161)
P : 0.167 (0.428 / ▼0.261)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 5 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 40%
0%
AWAY : 60%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 5 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
0%
Underdog : 100%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 43%
20%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
20%
Underdog : 23%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Remo : 46% (▲ 12%)
26% (▼ 5%)
Sao Paulo : 28% (▼ 7%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.6 - 1.6 (Model B.4)
Remo : 46% (▲ 12%)
23% (▼ 8%)
Sao Paulo : 31% (▼ 4%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 57.1%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.8 - 3.2 - 2.5
Remo : 33% (▼ 1%)
29% (▼ 2%)
Sao Paulo : 38% (▲ 3%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 8 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 25%
AWAY : 25%

Based on Away team = 2.5 (38%) Trend: 26 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 27%
AWAY : 23%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 40%
AWAY : 27%

Based on Away team = 2.5 (38%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 30%
AWAY : 37%


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