Bucheon

2 - 2

Incheon Utd

Bucheon FC 1995 Home Streak: 2 Games Without Defeat. Meanwhile, Incheon Utd Road Warriors: 3-Match Unbeaten Streak.

Sat, Apr 18, 2026 07:30 (UTC)


Facts

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FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 25%
D: 25%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.13 - 3.57 - 2.50)
HOMETEAM: 32%
28%
AWAYTEAM: 40%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (36.36)
Intensity: [Fierce] (63.64)

Bucheon (Fact Index 3.13):
Expected Win % is 32%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

Incheon Utd (Fact Index 2.50):
Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Bucheon:
T : 0.286 (0.500 / ▼0.214)
P : 0.167 (0.408 / ▼0.241)

Incheon Utd:
T : 0.286 (0.408 / ▼0.122)
P : 0.333 (0.428 / ▼0.095)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
50%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
100%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 43%
30%
AWAY : 27%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 29 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 38%
31%
Underdog : 31%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Bucheon : 35% (▲ 3%)
27% (▼ 1%)
Incheon Utd : 38% (▼ 2%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.1 (Model B.4)
Bucheon : 29% (▼ 3%)
33% (▲ 5%)
Incheon Utd : 38% (▼ 2%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 85.7%)


Average Odds : 3.3 - 3.1 - 2.3
Bucheon : 28% (▼ 4%)
30% (▲ 2%)
Incheon Utd : 42% (▲ 2%)

Data Source: Oddsportal
Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)
HOME : 0%
D : 100%
AWAY : 0%
* in this Competition.

Based on Away team = 2.3 Trend: 26 game(s)
HOME : 46%
D : 27%
AWAY : 27%


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