PromotionNeutral venue

Germany

1 - 1

Extra time and penalties (3-4)

Paraguay

Points Piling Up: Paraguay reach 3 games unbeaten.

Mon, Jun 29, 2026 20:30 (UTC) / Host: USA, CANADA, MEXICO


Facts

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FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 100%
Away: 0%

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.38 - 4.00 - 3.03)
HOMETEAM: 42%
25%
AWAYTEAM: 33%

Weight: [Close] (19.15)
Intensity: [Extreme] (80.85)

Germany (Fact Index 2.38):
Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

Paraguay (Fact Index 3.03):
Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 17% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 25% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 4 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
25%
AWAY : 25%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 4 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
25%
Underdog : 25%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
30%
AWAY : 17%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
30%
Underdog : 13%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 3.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Germany : 55% (▲ 13%)
19% (▼ 6%)
Paraguay : 26% (▼ 7%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.2 (Model B.4)
Germany : 35% (▼ 7%)
30% (▲ 5%)
Paraguay : 35% (▲ 2%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 57.1%)


Average Odds : 1.4 - 5.1 - 9.0
Germany : 70% (▲ 29%)
19% (▼ 6%)
Paraguay : 11% (▼ 22%)

Data Source: Oddsportal
Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)
HOME : 0%
D : 100%
AWAY : 0%
* in this Competition.

Based on Home team = 1.4 Trend: 30 game(s)
HOME : 77%
D : 23%
AWAY : 0%


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