Bournemouth

1 - 1

Aston Villa

Sat, Feb 7, 2026 15:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 13%
D: 38%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.03 - 3.57 - 2.50)
HOMETEAM: 33%
28%
AWAYTEAM: 40%

Bournemouth (Fact Index 3.03): Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Aston Villa (Fact Index 2.50): Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
50%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
50%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Bournemouth : 36% (▲ 3%)
27% (▼ 1%)
Aston Villa : 39% (▼ 1%)


Average Odds : 2.8 - 3.6 - 2.5
Bournemouth : 35% (▲ 2%)
27% (▼ 1%)
Aston Villa : 39% (▼ 1%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 47%
AWAY : 13%

Awayteam = 2.5 Trend:

HOME : 30%
D : 33%
AWAY : 37%

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