Newcastle

2 - 3

Everton

Home Ground Woes: 3rd Straight Loss for Newcastle. However, Everton unbeaten stretch on the road hits 6 games.

Sat, Feb 28, 2026 15:00 (UTC)


Facts

Newcastle :
Jacob Murphy 82'
Jacob Ramsey 32'

Everton :
Thierno Barry 83'
Beto 34'
Jarrad Branthwaite 19'

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 20%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.13 - 3.33 - 2.63)
HOMETEAM: 32%
30%
AWAYTEAM: 38%

Newcastle (Fact Index 3.13): Expected Win % is 32%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.

Everton (Fact Index 2.63): Expected Win % is 38%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 43%
17%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 46%
18%
Underdog : 36%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Newcastle : 35% (▲ 3%)
28% (▼ 2%)
Everton : 37% (▼ 1%)


Average Odds : 1.8 - 4.0 - 4.5
Newcastle : 55% (▲ 23%)
24% (▼ 6%)
Everton : 21% (▼ 17%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 27%
AWAY : 23%

Hometeam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 27%
AWAY : 33%

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy