Brighton

3 - 0

Wolves

Home Sweet Home: Brighton Secures 3rd Consecutive Victory. However, Wolves Road Trip Hell: 3rd Straight Away Loss.

Sat, May 9, 2026 14:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 30%
Away: 10%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.85 - 2.94 - 8.33)
HOMETEAM: 54%
34%
AWAYTEAM: 12%

Brighton (Fact Index 1.85): Expected Win % is 54%, compared to a 80% actual win rate for identical index values.

Wolves (Fact Index 8.33): Expected Win % is 12%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 80%
20%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Brighton : 56% (▲ 2%)
28% (▼ 6%)
Wolves : 16% (▲ 4%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Brighton | 0.371 | 0.550 | ▲ 0.179
T | Wolves | 0.086 | 0.231 | ▲ 0.145
H | Brighton | 0.471 | 0.646 | ▲ 0.175
A | Wolves | 0.000 | 0.131 | ▲ 0.131
P | Brighton | 0.667 | 0.687 | ▲ 0.020
P | Wolves | 0.167 | 0.243 | ▲ 0.076
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 1.3 - 6.1 - 9.9
Brighton : 74% (▲ 20%)
16% (▼ 18%)
Wolves : 10% (▼ 2%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 84%
D : 13%
AWAY : 3%

Hometeam = 1.3 Trend:

HOME : 73%
D : 20%
AWAY : 7%

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