Arsenal

2 - 0

Everton

The Arsenal Juggernaut: 8 matches since last defeat.

Sat, Mar 14, 2026 17:30 (UTC)


Facts

Arsenal :
Max Dowman 90' +7
Viktor Gyökeres 89'
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 20%
Away: 20%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.96 - 3.45 - 5.00)
HOMETEAM: 51%
29%
AWAYTEAM: 20%

Arsenal (Fact Index 1.96): Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 38% actual win rate for identical index values.

Everton (Fact Index 5.00): Expected Win % is 20%, compared to a 15% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 38%
47%
AWAY : 15%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 33%
56%
Underdog : 11%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Arsenal : 50% (▼ 1%)
25% (▼ 4%)
Everton : 25% (▲ 5%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Arsenal | 0.667 | 0.783 | ▲ 0.116
T | Everton | 0.414 | 0.510 | ▲ 0.096
H | Arsenal | 0.786 | 0.844 | ▲ 0.058
A | Everton | 0.500 | 0.543 | ▲ 0.043
P | Arsenal | 0.667 | 0.776 | ▲ 0.109
P | Everton | 0.500 | 0.581 | ▲ 0.081
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 1.4 - 4.8 - 9.6
Arsenal : 70% (▲ 19%)
20% (▼ 9%)
Everton : 10% (▼ 10%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 89%
D : 11%
AWAY : 0%

Hometeam = 1.4 Trend:

HOME : 67%
D : 23%
AWAY : 10%

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