Chelsea

2 - 0

Brentford

Sat, Jan 17, 2026 15:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 40%
Away: 30%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.33 - 3.03 - 2.63)
HOMETEAM: 30%
33%
AWAYTEAM: 38%

Chelsea (Fact Index 3.33): Expected Win % is 30%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Brentford (Fact Index 2.63): Expected Win % is 38%, compared to a 20% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 40%
40%
AWAY : 20%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
50%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Chelsea : 40% (▲ 10%)
33% (-)
Brentford : 28% (▼ 10%)


Average Odds : 1.7 - 4.0 - 4.8
Chelsea : 56% (▲ 26%)
24% (▼ 9%)
Brentford : 20% (▼ 18%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 56%
D : 27%
AWAY : 17%

Hometeam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 33%
AWAY : 7%

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