Cruzeiro

vs

Mirassol

No Split: Cruzeiro and Mirassol Tie for the 2nd Time. Meanwhile, Fortress Mirassol: 3-match unbeaten streak.

Sun, Aug 9, 2026 14:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 33%
D: 67%
Away: 0%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.38 - 2.70 - 4.76)
HOMETEAM: 42%
37%
AWAYTEAM: 21%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (36.84)
Intensity: [Fierce] (63.16)

Cruzeiro (Fact Index 2.38):
Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 62% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Mirassol (Fact Index 4.76):
Expected Win % is 21%, compared to a 23% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 100% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Cruzeiro:
T : 0.381 (0.466 / ▼0.085)
H : 0.364 (0.567 / ▼0.203)
A : 0.400 (0.362 / ▲0.038)
P : 0.500 (0.608 / ▼0.108)

Mirassol:
T : 0.300 (0.448 / ▼0.148)
H : 0.455 (0.546 / ▼0.091)
A : 0.111 (0.326 / ▼0.215)
P : 0.500 (0.500 / -)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
0%
AWAY : 100%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 13 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 62%
15%
AWAY : 23%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 10 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 80%
20%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.4 - 1.1 (Model A.)
Cruzeiro : 44% (▲ 2%)
32% (▼ 5%)
Mirassol : 24% (▲ 3%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.4 - 1.3 (Model B.4)
Cruzeiro : 29% (▼ 13%)
49% (▲ 12%)
Mirassol : 22% (▲ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 81%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.7 - 3.7 - 5.1
Cruzeiro : 56% (▲ 14%)
26% (▼ 11%)
Mirassol : 19% (▼ 2%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)

HOME : 100%
D : 0%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (56%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 30%
AWAY : 20%


Football

Odds Trend: 19 game(s)

HOME : 52%
D : 32%
AWAY : 16%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (56%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 27%
AWAY : 33%


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