Metz

1 - 1

Angers

Sun, Sep 14, 2025 15:15 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 17%
D: 33%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.35 - 4.35 - 1.85)
HOMETEAM: 23%
23%
AWAYTEAM: 54%

Metz (Fact Index 4.35): Expected Win % is 23%, compared to a 31% actual win rate for identical index values.

Angers (Fact Index 1.85): Expected Win % is 54%, compared to a 31% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 31%
38%
AWAY : 31%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 30%
50%
Underdog : 20%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Metz : 37% (▲ 14%)
28% (▲ 5%)
Angers : 36% (▼ 18%)


Average Odds : 2.3 - 3.3 - 3.1
Metz : 41% (▲ 18%)
29% (▲ 6%)
Angers : 31% (▼ 23%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 29%
D : 29%
AWAY : 42%

Hometeam = 2.3 Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 30%
AWAY : 27%

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