Nice

3 - 2

Lyon

Sat, Oct 18, 2025 15:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 20%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.23 - 5.00 - 2.00)
HOMETEAM: 31%
20%
AWAYTEAM: 50%

Nice (Fact Index 3.23): Expected Win % is 31%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Lyon (Fact Index 2.00): Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 33%
67%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 20%
60%
Underdog : 20%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Nice : 41% (▲ 10%)
22% (▲ 2%)
Lyon : 38% (▼ 12%)


Average Odds : 2.5 - 3.5 - 2.8
Nice : 38% (▲ 7%)
27% (▲ 7%)
Lyon : 34% (▼ 16%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 35%
D : 45%
AWAY : 20%

Hometeam = 2.5 Trend:

HOME : 23%
D : 37%
AWAY : 40%

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