Promotion

Pachuca

2 - 0

Agg: 3 - 0

Toluca

Milestone: Pachuca hit 2 matches without a loss. However, Toluca Away Woes Continue: 4th Straight Loss.

Sun, May 10, 2026 23:00 (UTC)

Facts

  • Toluca Away Woes Continue: 4th Straight Loss.
  • Pachuca Dominate Toluca with 2nd Straight Win.
  • Pachuca Extend Hot Streak to 2 Games.
  • Toluca Rut Deepens: 2 Games Without Win.
  • Milestone: Pachuca hit 2 matches without a loss.

    • FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
    HEAD TO HEAD

    Last 10 games

    Home: 30%
    D: 30%
    Away: 40%

    Home vs Away

    Away vs Home

    These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

    FACT INDEX (2.27 - 3.23 - 4.00)
    HOMETEAM: 44%
    31%
    AWAYTEAM: 25%

    Pachuca (Fact Index 2.27): Expected Win % is 44%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Toluca (Fact Index 4.00): Expected Win % is 25%, compared to a 23% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

    HOME : 60%
    17%
    AWAY : 23%

    The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

    Favorite : 53%
    17%
    Underdog : 30%

    PREDICTION
    Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
    Pachuca : 46% (▲ 2%)
    26% (▼ 5%)
    Toluca : 28% (▲ 3%)

    |Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
    T | Pachuca | 0.556 | 0.601 | ▲ 0.045
    T | Toluca | 0.444 | 0.657 | ▲ 0.213
    H | Pachuca | 0.667 | 0.679 | ▲ 0.012
    A | Toluca | 0.333 | 0.559 | ▲ 0.226
    P | Pachuca | 0.667 | 0.565 | ▼ 0.102
    P | Toluca | 0.167 | 0.466 | ▲ 0.299
    T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

    Expected Goals (xG) : 1.7 - 1.4 (Model B.4)
    Pachuca : 42% (▼ 2%)
    30% (▼ 1%)
    Toluca : 28% (▲ 3%)

    Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 95.2%)

    Average Odds : 3.2 - 3.5 - 2.0
    Pachuca : 29% (▼ 15%)
    26% (▼ 5%)
    Toluca : 45% (▲ 20%)

    Odds Trend:

    HOME : 20%
    D : 40%
    AWAY : 40%

    Awayteam = 2.0 Trend:

    HOME : 23%
    D : 23%
    AWAY : 54%

    Pachuca

    Last 3:
    Liga MX - Clausura 2026-05-18 Pumas UNAM 1 - 0 Pachuca
    Liga MX - Clausura 2026-05-15 Pachuca 1 - 0 Pumas UNAM
    Liga MX - Clausura 2026-05-04 Toluca 0 - 1 Pachuca

    Next 3:



    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

    Toluca

    Last 3:
    Champions Cup 2026-05-31 Toluca 1 - 1 Tigres UANL
    Champions Cup 2026-05-07 Toluca 4 - 0 Los Angeles
    Liga MX - Clausura 2026-05-04 Toluca 0 - 1 Pachuca

    Next 3:



    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

    © 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

    ©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
    Terms of Use | Privacy Policy