Al Hazem

1 - 0

Al Taawoun

No Way Through: Al Hazem go 3 matches unbeaten. Conversely, Al Taawoun road woes intensify with a 4th straight away loss.

Tue, Sep 8, 2026 15:55 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 67%
D: 33%
Away: 0%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.13 - 2.44 - 3.70)
HOMETEAM: 32%
41%
AWAYTEAM: 27%

Weight: [Close] (17.65)
Intensity: [Extreme] (82.35)

Al Hazem (Fact Index 3.13):
Expected Win % is 32%, compared to a 38% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Al Taawoun (Fact Index 3.70):
Expected Win % is 27%, compared to a 31% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Al Hazem:
T : 0.200 (0.441 / ▼0.241)
P : 0.200 (0.441 / ▼0.241)

Al Taawoun:
T : 0.000 (0.340 / ▼0.340)
P : 0.000 (0.340 / ▼0.340)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
0%
Underdog : 100%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 13 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 38%
31%
AWAY : 31%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 8 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 62%
13%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.4 - 1.6 (Model A.)
Al Hazem : 33% (▲ 1%)
33% (▼ 8%)
Al Taawoun : 34% (▲ 7%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.3 - 0.9 (Model B.4)
Al Hazem : 46% (▲ 14%)
23% (▼ 18%)
Al Taawoun : 31% (▲ 4%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 66.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.8 - 3.4 - 2.3
Al Hazem : 33% (▲ 1%)
27% (▼ 14%)
Al Taawoun : 40% (▲ 13%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 2 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Away team = 2.3 (40%) Trend: 3 game(s)

HOME : 34%
D : 33%
AWAY : 33%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 20%
D : 20%
AWAY : 60%

Based on Away team = 2.3 (40%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 13%
AWAY : 54%


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