Real Sociedad
3 - 3
Alaves
Real Sociedad is showcasing its dominance at home with an unbeaten run of 8 games. However, The Alaves Juggernaut: 4 matches since last defeat.
Sat, Apr 11, 2026 12:00 (UTC)
Facts
Sergio Gómez 90' +3 RED
Orri Steinn Óskarsson 60'
Antonio Sivera 27' (OG)
Luka Sučić 14'
Alaves :
Lucas Boyé 90' +7
Ibrahim Diabaté 24'
Duje Ćaleta-Car 3' (OG)
Last 10 games
Home vs Away
Away vs Home
These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.
Real Sociedad (Fact Index 2.38): Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
Alaves (Fact Index 2.56): Expected Win % is 39%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.
Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.
The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Real Sociedad | 0.367 | 0.507 | ▲ 0.140
T | Alaves | 0.267 | 0.405 | ▲ 0.138
H | Real Sociedad | 0.533 | 0.603 | ▲ 0.070
A | Alaves | 0.200 | 0.299 | ▲ 0.099
P | Real Sociedad | 0.500 | 0.559 | ▲ 0.059
P | Alaves | 0.167 | 0.446 | ▲ 0.279
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.7 - 1.5 (Model B.4)
Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 90.5%)
Average Odds : 1.7 - 3.8 - 4.9
Odds Trend:
Hometeam = 1.7 Trend:
Last 3:
LaLiga 2026-04-21 Real Madrid 2 - 1 Alaves
LaLiga 2026-04-05 Alaves 2 - 2 Osasuna
LaLiga 2026-03-22 Celta Vigo 3 - 4 Alaves
Next 3:
LaLiga 2026-04-25 Alaves - Mallorca
Last 20 games
HOME :
AWAY :