Lorient

2 - 1

Lens

Home form is rock solid: Lorient has gone 11 matches at home without a loss.

Sat, Mar 14, 2026 16:00 (UTC)

Facts

  • Home form is rock solid: Lorient has gone 11 matches at home without a loss.
  • Invincible: Lorient go 5 matches without defeat.

    • Lorient :
    Aiyegun Tosin 65'
    Ahmadou Bamba Dieng 18'
    Lens :
    Odsonne Édouard 48'
    FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
    HEAD TO HEAD

    Last 10 games

    Home: 20%
    D: 30%
    Away: 50%

    Home vs Away

    Away vs Home

    These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

    FACT INDEX (3.23 - 3.33 - 2.56)
    HOMETEAM: 31%
    30%
    AWAYTEAM: 39%

    Lorient (Fact Index 3.23): Expected Win % is 31%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Lens (Fact Index 2.56): Expected Win % is 39%, compared to a 42% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

    HOME : 27%
    31%
    AWAY : 42%

    The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

    Favorite : 41%
    24%
    Underdog : 35%

    PREDICTION
    Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
    Lorient : 35% (▲ 4%)
    28% (▼ 2%)
    Lens : 37% (▼ 2%)

    |Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
    T | Lorient | 0.320 | 0.465 | ▲ 0.145
    T | Lens | 0.720 | 0.745 | ▲ 0.025
    H | Lorient | 0.500 | 0.592 | ▲ 0.092
    A | Lens | 0.583 | 0.665 | ▲ 0.082
    P | Lorient | 0.333 | 0.534 | ▲ 0.201
    P | Lens | 0.667 | 0.807 | ▲ 0.140
    T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

    Average Odds : 4.2 - 3.7 - 1.9
    Lorient : 23% (▼ 8%)
    26% (▼ 4%)
    Lens : 51% (▲ 12%)

    Odds Trend:

    HOME : 17%
    D : 33%
    AWAY : 50%

    Awayteam = 1.9 Trend:

    HOME : 33%
    D : 30%
    AWAY : 37%

    Lorient

    Last 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-10 Metz 0 - 4 Lorient
    Ligue 1 2026-05-02 PSG 2 - 2 Lorient
    Ligue 1 2026-04-26 Lorient 2 - 3 Strasbourg

    Next 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-17 Lorient - Le Havre


    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

    Lens

    Last 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-13 Lens 0 - 2 PSG
    Ligue 1 2026-05-08 Lens 1 - 0 Nantes
    Ligue 1 2026-05-02 Nice 1 - 1 Lens

    Next 3:
    Ligue 1 2026-05-17 Lyon - Lens
    Coupe de France 2026-05-22 Lens - Nice

    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

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