Incheon Utd

2 - 1

Bucheon

Home Fortress Incheon Utd: 5-Game Unbeaten Run at Home. Meanwhile, Bucheon are stuck in a 2-game winless Rut.

Tue, Sep 8, 2026 10:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 33%
Away: 17%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.03 - 2.78 - 3.23)
HOMETEAM: 33%
36%
AWAYTEAM: 31%

Weight: [Close] (18.18)
Intensity: [Extreme] (81.82)

Incheon Utd (Fact Index 3.03):
Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 33% in this event.

Bucheon (Fact Index 3.23):
Expected Win % is 31%, compared to a 44% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 67% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Incheon Utd:
T : 0.346 (0.532 / ▼0.186)
H : 0.308 (0.500 / ▼0.192)
A : 0.385 (0.559 / ▼0.174)
P : 0.167 (0.457 / ▼0.290)

Bucheon:
T : 0.259 (0.437 / ▼0.178)
H : 0.200 (0.398 / ▼0.198)
A : 0.333 (0.500 / ▼0.167)
P : 0.333 (0.419 / ▼0.086)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 33%
0%
AWAY : 67%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 25 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 40%
16%
AWAY : 44%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 20 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 30%
20%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 0.8 (Model A.)
Incheon Utd : 35% (▲ 2%)
34% (▼ 2%)
Bucheon : 31% (-)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.1 - 1.2 (Model B.4)
Incheon Utd : 32% (▼ 1%)
31% (▼ 5%)
Bucheon : 37% (▲ 6%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 95.2%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 3.5 - 4.6
Incheon Utd : 53% (▲ 20%)
27% (▼ 9%)
Bucheon : 20% (▼ 11%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 4 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 25%
AWAY : 25%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (53%) Trend: 18 game(s)

HOME : 45%
D : 22%
AWAY : 33%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 30%
AWAY : 20%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (53%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 23%
AWAY : 20%


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