Nantes

2 - 3

Strasbourg

Nantes still searching for answers after 5 consecutive defeats to Strasbourg. However, Tactical Masterclass: Strasbourg reach 6 without dropping all points.

Sun, Mar 22, 2026 19:45 (UTC)


Facts

Nantes :
Matthis Abline 53'
Dehmaine Tabibou 6'
Strasbourg :
Joaquin Panichelli 90' +2, 78'
Maxi Oyedele 45' +2
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 10%
D: 20%
Away: 70%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (5.56 - 5.00 - 1.61)
HOMETEAM: 18%
20%
AWAYTEAM: 62%

Nantes (Fact Index 5.56): Expected Win % is 18%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Strasbourg (Fact Index 1.61): Expected Win % is 62%, compared to a 80% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 0%
20%
AWAY : 80%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 80%
20%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Nantes : 19% (▲ 1%)
20% (-)
Strasbourg : 61% (▼ 1%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Nantes | 0.160 | 0.301 | ▲ 0.141
T | Strasbourg | 0.385 | 0.582 | ▲ 0.197
H | Nantes | 0.154 | 0.300 | ▲ 0.146
A | Strasbourg | 0.231 | 0.452 | ▲ 0.221
P | Nantes | 0.167 | 0.289 | ▲ 0.122
P | Strasbourg | 0.167 | 0.550 | ▲ 0.383
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 3.5 - 3.6 - 2.1
Nantes : 27% (▲ 9%)
26% (▲ 6%)
Strasbourg : 47% (▼ 15%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 17%
D : 20%
AWAY : 63%

Awayteam = 2.1 Trend:

HOME : 7%
D : 33%
AWAY : 60%

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