Leeds

1 - 1

Manchester Utd

Sun, Jan 4, 2026 12:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 13%
D: 38%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.35 - 2.56 - 2.56)
HOMETEAM: 23%
39%
AWAYTEAM: 39%

Leeds (Fact Index 4.35): Expected Win % is 23%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Manchester Utd (Fact Index 2.56): Expected Win % is 39%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
50%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
50%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Leeds : 24% (▲ 1%)
44% (▲ 5%)
Manchester Utd : 32% (▼ 7%)


Average Odds : 2.7 - 3.4 - 2.6
Leeds : 36% (▲ 13%)
28% (▼ 11%)
Manchester Utd : 36% (▼ 3%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 27%
D : 27%
AWAY : 46%

Awayteam = 2.6 Trend:

HOME : 27%
D : 40%
AWAY : 33%

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