Chelsea

1 - 1

Burnley

Impressive: Chelsea reach 6 matches undefeated. However, Tactical Masterclass: Burnley reach 2 without dropping all points.

Sat, Feb 21, 2026 15:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 63%
D: 38%
Away: 0%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.04 - 3.45 - 4.55)
HOMETEAM: 49%
29%
AWAYTEAM: 22%

Chelsea (Fact Index 2.04): Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 62% actual win rate for identical index values.

Burnley (Fact Index 4.55): Expected Win % is 22%, compared to a 13% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 62%
25%
AWAY : 13%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 66%
27%
Underdog : 7%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Chelsea : 49% (-)
27% (▼ 2%)
Burnley : 24% (▲ 2%)


Average Odds : 1.2 - 7.1 - 11.6
Chelsea : 78% (▲ 29%)
14% (▼ 15%)
Burnley : 8% (▼ 14%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 74%
D : 13%
AWAY : 13%

Hometeam = 1.2 Trend:

HOME : 87%
D : 10%
AWAY : 3%

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