Auxerre

3 - 1

Metz

Sun, Dec 7, 2025 16:15 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 100%
D: 0%
Away: 0%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.56 - 5.26 - 2.33)
HOMETEAM: 39%
19%
AWAYTEAM: 43%

Auxerre (Fact Index 2.56): Expected Win % is 39%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Metz (Fact Index 2.33): Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
50%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
50%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Auxerre : 45% (▲ 6%)
20% (▲ 1%)
Metz : 37% (▼ 6%)


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.5 - 3.8
Auxerre : 48% (▲ 9%)
28% (▲ 9%)
Metz : 25% (▼ 18%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 31%
D : 31%
AWAY : 38%

Hometeam = 2.0 Trend:

HOME : 76%
D : 7%
AWAY : 17%

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