Promotion

Japan U23

0 - 1

South Korea U23

South Korea U23 Rules the Road: 12th Straight Away Victory.

Sat, Oct 3, 2026 10:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.38 - 5.88 - 2.44)
HOMETEAM: 42%
17%
AWAYTEAM: 41%

Weight: [Close] (15.38)
Intensity: [Extreme] (84.62)

Japan U23 (Fact Index 2.38):
Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 45% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

South Korea U23 (Fact Index 2.44):
Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 100% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Japan U23:
T : 0.800 (0.969 / ▼0.169)
H : 0.800 (0.969 / ▼0.169)
P : 0.800 (0.969 / ▼0.169)

South Korea U23:
T : 1.000 (0.911 / ▲0.089)
A : 1.000 (0.911 / ▲0.089)
P : 1.000 (0.911 / ▲0.089)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
0%
AWAY : 100%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 9 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 45%
22%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 8 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 37%
25%
Underdog : 38%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Japan U23 : 39% (▼ 3%)
21% (▲ 4%)
South Korea U23 : 40% (▼ 1%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.6 - 1.2 (Model B.4)
Japan U23 : 46% (▲ 4%)
23% (▲ 6%)
South Korea U23 : 31% (▼ 10%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 52.4%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 3.1 - 3.2 - 2.2
Japan U23 : 30% (▼ 12%)
29% (▲ 12%)
South Korea U23 : 41% (-)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 0%
AWAY : 100%

Based on Away team = 2.2 (41%) Trend: 1 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 0%
AWAY : 100%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 20%
D : 27%
AWAY : 53%

Based on Away team = 2.2 (41%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 27%
AWAY : 40%


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