Brest

3 - 4

Rennes

Losing Skid Hits 3 for Struggling Brest. Conversely, Road Warriors: Rennes Grabs 3rd Straight Away Win.

Sat, Apr 4, 2026 17:00 (UTC)


Facts

Brest :
Remy Labeau Lascary 70'
Junior Dina Ebimbe 57', 4'
Rennes :
Esteban Lepaul 74' (Pen.), 34' (Pen.)
Breel Embolo 63'
Ludovic Blas 20'
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 30%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.56 - 4.17 - 2.70)
HOMETEAM: 39%
24%
AWAYTEAM: 37%

Brest (Fact Index 2.56): Expected Win % is 39%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.

Rennes (Fact Index 2.70): Expected Win % is 37%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 43%
27%
AWAY : 30%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 54%
25%
Underdog : 21%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Brest : 45% (▲ 6%)
22% (▼ 2%)
Rennes : 33% (▼ 4%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Brest | 0.370 | 0.456 | ▲ 0.086
T | Rennes | 0.444 | 0.549 | ▲ 0.105
H | Brest | 0.538 | 0.636 | ▲ 0.098
A | Rennes | 0.385 | 0.438 | ▲ 0.053
P | Brest | 0.500 | 0.500 | 0.000
P | Rennes | 0.667 | 0.858 | ▲ 0.191
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 3.1 - 3.5 - 2.3
Brest : 31% (▼ 8%)
27% (▲ 3%)
Rennes : 42% (▲ 5%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 30%
D : 37%
AWAY : 33%

Awayteam = 2.3 Trend:

HOME : 27%
D : 30%
AWAY : 43%

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