Lyon

4 - 2

Rennes

Momentum: 5 matches without a blemish for Lyon.

Sun, May 3, 2026 18:45 (UTC)


Facts

Lyon :
Endrick 75'
Afonso Moreira 52'
Corentin Tolisso 42' (Pen.)
Roman Yaremchuk 37'
Rennes :
Esteban Lepaul 48'
Mousa Tamari 6'
GOLAZO d'Al-Tamari mais l'OL RENVERSE Rennes en RUGISSANT | 32ème journée - Ligue 1 McDonald's 25/26
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.56 - 6.25 - 2.22)
HOMETEAM: 39%
16%
AWAYTEAM: 45%

Lyon (Fact Index 2.56): Expected Win % is 39%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.

Rennes (Fact Index 2.22): Expected Win % is 45%, compared to a 38% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 37%
25%
AWAY : 38%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
17%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Lyon : 40% (▲ 1%)
18% (▲ 2%)
Rennes : 42% (▼ 3%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Lyon | 0.548 | 0.629 | ▲ 0.081
T | Rennes | 0.516 | 0.581 | ▲ 0.065
H | Lyon | 0.733 | 0.732 | ▼ 0.001
A | Rennes | 0.467 | 0.500 | ▲ 0.033
P | Lyon | 0.500 | 0.648 | ▲ 0.148
P | Rennes | 0.667 | 0.668 | ▲ 0.001
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 2.2 - 3.7 - 3.1
Lyon : 43% (▲ 4%)
26% (▲ 10%)
Rennes : 31% (▼ 14%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 54%
D : 23%
AWAY : 23%

Hometeam = 2.2 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 23%
AWAY : 20%

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