Fluminense

2 - 2

Vitória

Fluminense Home Guardians: 2-Match Unbeaten Streak. However, Fortress Vitória FC: 2-match unbeaten streak.

Sat, May 9, 2026 21:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 40%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.08 - 4.76 - 3.23)
HOMETEAM: 48%
21%
AWAYTEAM: 31%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (31.58)
Intensity: [Fierce] (68.42)

Fluminense (Fact Index 2.08):
Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 33% in this event.

Vitória (Fact Index 3.23):
Expected Win % is 31%, compared to a 26% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Fluminense:
T : 0.571 (0.579 / ▼0.008)
H : 0.857 (0.691 / ▲0.166)
P : 0.500 (0.534 / ▼0.034)

Vitória:
T : 0.385 (0.462 / ▼0.077)
A : 0.000 (0.152 / ▼0.152)
P : 0.333 (0.500 / ▼0.167)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 33%
67%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 33%
67%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 23 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
17%
AWAY : 26%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 18 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 55%
17%
Underdog : 28%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 3.0 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Fluminense : 64% (▲ 16%)
17% (▼ 4%)
Vitória : 19% (▼ 12%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.3 - 1.1 (Model B.4)
Fluminense : 40% (▼ 8%)
29% (▲ 8%)
Vitória : 31% (-)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 81%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.5 - 4.1 - 6.8
Fluminense : 63% (▲ 15%)
23% (▲ 2%)
Vitória : 14% (▼ 17%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 7 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 57%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 1.5 (63%) Trend: 19 game(s)

HOME : 42%
D : 42%
AWAY : 16%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 56%
D : 27%
AWAY : 17%

Based on Home team = 1.5 (63%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 20%
AWAY : 20%


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