Canada

6 - 0

Qatar

Canada Home Guardians: 12-Match Unbeaten Streak.

Thu, Jun 18, 2026 22:00 (UTC) / Host: USA, CANADA, MEXICO


Facts

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Highlights | Canada 0-3 Morocco | FIFA World Cup 2026™
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HIGHLIGHTS | Canada v Tunisia
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 100%
D: 0%
Away: 0%

Home vs Away

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.70 - 3.85 - 2.70)
HOMETEAM: 37%
26%
AWAYTEAM: 37%

Canada (Fact Index 2.70):
Expected Win % is 37%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 54% in this event.

Qatar (Fact Index 2.70):
Expected Win % is 37%, compared to a 20% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 23% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 13 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 54%
23%
AWAY : 23%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 13 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 54%
23%
Underdog : 23%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
30%
AWAY : 20%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 60%
40%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.1 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Canada : 41% (▲ 4%)
25% (▼ 1%)
Qatar : 34% (▼ 3%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.2 - 0.5 (Model B.4)
Canada : 46% (▲ 9%)
23% (▼ 3%)
Qatar : 31% (▼ 6%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 57.1%)


Average Odds : 1.3 - 5.9 - 12.5
Canada : 75% (▲ 38%)
17% (▼ 9%)
Qatar : 8% (▼ 29%)

Data Source: Oddsportal
Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)
HOME : 100%
D : 0%
AWAY : 0%
* in this Competition.

Based on Home team = 1.3 Trend: 30 game(s)
HOME : 74%
D : 23%
AWAY : 3%


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