Monaco

3 - 1

Nantes

Fri, Feb 13, 2026 20:05 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 50%
Away: 0%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.08 - 3.45 - 4.35)
HOMETEAM: 48%
29%
AWAYTEAM: 23%

Monaco (Fact Index 2.08): Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.

Nantes (Fact Index 4.35): Expected Win % is 23%, compared to a 20% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 60%
20%
AWAY : 20%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 76%
12%
Underdog : 12%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Monaco : 55% (▲ 7%)
24% (▼ 5%)
Nantes : 21% (▼ 2%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 2.7 - 1.3 (Model B.3)
Monaco : 58% (▲ 10%)
19% (▼ 10%)
Nantes : 23% (-)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: v B.3 / 85.7)


Average Odds : 1.5 - 4.7 - 6.2
Monaco : 65% (▲ 17%)
20% (▼ 9%)
Nantes : 15% (▼ 8%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 64%
D : 23%
AWAY : 13%

Hometeam = 1.5 Trend:

HOME : 70%
D : 17%
AWAY : 13%

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