Strasbourg

1 - 1

Lens

3-Match Unbeaten Streak for Strasbourg. Conversely, Lens unbeaten stretch on the road hits 2 games.

Fri, Feb 27, 2026 19:45 (UTC)


Lens missed their chance to reclaim 1st place but remains 2nd, just one point behind PSG. However, with PSG holding a game in hand, the gap could widen soon. Lens stays in the title race, but the pressure mounts to stay within striking distance of the leaders. (259 characters)

By: Waveflow SportsLab
Updated: 2026-03-07 17:32:15 (KST)

Facts

Score Line :
1-0, 0-1
Strasbourg :
Joaquin Panichelli 18'

Lens :
Mamadou Sangare 62'

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 30%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.63 - 6.67 - 2.13)
HOMETEAM: 38%
15%
AWAYTEAM: 47%

Strasbourg (Fact Index 2.63): Expected Win % is 38%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Lens (Fact Index 2.13): Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 29% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 0%
71%
AWAY : 29%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 20%
80%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Strasbourg : 34% (▼ 4%)
18% (▲ 3%)
Lens : 48% (▲ 1%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.3 - 1.5 (Model B.3)
Strasbourg : 33% (▼ 5%)
22% (▲ 7%)
Lens : 45% (▼ 2%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: v B.3 / 76.2%)


Average Odds : 2.4 - 3.6 - 2.9
Strasbourg : 40% (▲ 2%)
27% (▲ 12%)
Lens : 33% (▼ 14%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 30%
D : 43%
AWAY : 27%

Hometeam = 2.4 Trend:

HOME : 33%
D : 40%
AWAY : 27%

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