Tochigi City

1 - 2

Imabari

Tochigi City are stuck in a 3-game winless Rut.

Sat, Oct 3, 2026 08:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 0%
Away: 100%

Home team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.08 - 5.00 - 3.13)
HOMETEAM: 48%
20%
AWAYTEAM: 32%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (47.37)
Intensity: [Moderate] (52.63)

Tochigi City (Fact Index 2.08):
Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 48% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

Imabari (Fact Index 3.13):
Expected Win % is 32%, compared to a 39% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 50% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Tochigi City:
T : 0.375 (0.524 / ▼0.149)
A : 0.400 (0.500 / ▼0.100)
P : 0.333 (0.435 / ▼0.102)

Imabari:
T : 0.125 (0.240 / ▼0.115)
H : 0.250 (0.289 / ▼0.039)
A : 0.000 (0.193 / ▼0.193)
P : 0.167 (0.193 / ▼0.026)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 23 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 48%
13%
AWAY : 39%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 16 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 56%
19%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.3 - 1.2 (Model A.)
Tochigi City : 55% (▲ 7%)
21% (▲ 1%)
Imabari : 24% (▼ 8%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.8 - 1.3 (Model B.4)
Tochigi City : 46% (▼ 2%)
23% (▲ 3%)
Imabari : 31% (▼ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 57.1%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 3.9 - 3.9
Tochigi City : 51% (▲ 3%)
24% (▲ 4%)
Imabari : 24% (▼ 8%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 0%
AWAY : 100%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (51%) Trend: 26 game(s)

HOME : 38%
D : 35%
AWAY : 27%


Football

Odds Trend: 18 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 28%
AWAY : 22%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (51%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 30%
AWAY : 27%


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