Atletico MG

1 - 1

Botafogo RJ

Momentum: 2 matches without a blemish for Atletico MG. However, 3 Unbeaten for Botafogo RJ on the Road.

Sun, May 10, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 20%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.70 - 5.88 - 2.17)
HOMETEAM: 37%
17%
AWAYTEAM: 46%

Weight: [Adjacent] (0.00)
Intensity: [Extreme] (100.00)

Atletico MG (Fact Index 2.70):
Expected Win % is 37%, compared to a 42% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Botafogo RJ (Fact Index 2.17):
Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Atletico MG:
T : 0.357 (0.447 / ▼0.090)
H : 0.500 (0.466 / ▲0.034)
P : 0.500 (0.500 / -)

Botafogo RJ:
T : 0.385 (0.487 / ▼0.102)
A : 0.429 (0.454 / ▼0.025)
P : 0.500 (0.608 / ▼0.108)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
100%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
100%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 26 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 42%
31%
AWAY : 27%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 24 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 45%
38%
Underdog : 17%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Atletico MG : 34% (▼ 3%)
19% (▲ 2%)
Botafogo RJ : 47% (▲ 1%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.7 (Model B.4)
Atletico MG : 23% (▼ 14%)
24% (▲ 7%)
Botafogo RJ : 53% (▲ 7%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 85.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.1 - 3.3 - 3.4
Atletico MG : 44% (▲ 7%)
28% (▲ 11%)
Botafogo RJ : 28% (▼ 18%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 5 game(s)

HOME : 20%
D : 40%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Home team = 2.1 (44%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 43%
AWAY : 17%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 30%
AWAY : 13%

Based on Home team = 2.1 (44%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 30%
AWAY : 13%


User's choice

Voting has closed.

You're the first!

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy