Santos

vs

Athletico PR

Winless streak reaches 2 for Santos vs Athletico PR. Conversely, 6-Match Unbeaten Streak for Athletico PR.

Sun, Aug 9, 2026 21:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 40%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.23 - 3.57 - 2.44)
HOMETEAM: 31%
28%
AWAYTEAM: 41%

Weight: [Distant] (63.16)
Intensity: [Tilted] (36.84)

Santos (Fact Index 3.23):
Expected Win % is 31%, compared to a 26% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Athletico PR (Fact Index 2.44):
Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 44% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Santos:
T : 0.250 (0.458 / ▼0.208)
H : 0.455 (0.563 / ▼0.108)
A : 0.000 (0.355 / ▼0.355)
P : 0.333 (0.469 / ▼0.136)

Athletico PR:
T : 0.524 (0.608 / ▼0.084)
H : 0.727 (0.786 / ▼0.059)
A : 0.300 (0.383 / ▼0.083)
P : 0.667 (0.782 / ▼0.115)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
100%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
100%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 27 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 26%
30%
AWAY : 44%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 19 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 47%
32%
Underdog : 21%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.3 - 1.1 (Model A.)
Santos : 36% (▲ 5%)
28% (-)
Athletico PR : 36% (▼ 5%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.7 - 1.1 (Model B.4)
Santos : 46% (▲ 15%)
23% (▼ 5%)
Athletico PR : 31% (▼ 10%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 66.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.2 - 3.2 - 3.5
Santos : 44% (▲ 13%)
29% (▲ 1%)
Athletico PR : 27% (▼ 14%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 9 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 22%
AWAY : 11%

Based on Home team = 2.2 (44%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 43%
AWAY : 17%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 44%
D : 43%
AWAY : 13%

Based on Home team = 2.2 (44%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 30%
AWAY : 13%


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