Teplice

2 - 0

Jablonec

Sun, Aug 30, 2026 15:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 0%
Away: 80%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.35 - 5.88 - 1.67)
HOMETEAM: 23%
17%
AWAYTEAM: 60%

Weight: [Close] (13.33)
Intensity: [Extreme] (86.67)

Teplice (Fact Index 4.35):
Expected Win % is 23%, compared to a 11% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Jablonec (Fact Index 1.67):
Expected Win % is 60%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Teplice:
T : 0.400 (0.441 / ▼0.041)
P : 0.400 (0.441 / ▼0.041)

No Away team data available.

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 9 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 11%
22%
AWAY : 67%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 7 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 71%
29%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.3 (Model A.)
Teplice : 38% (▲ 15%)
20% (▲ 3%)
Jablonec : 42% (▼ 18%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 0.5 - 1.7 (Model B.4)
Teplice : 7% (▼ 16%)
19% (▲ 2%)
Jablonec : 74% (▲ 14%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 76.2%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.4 - 3.4 - 2.8
Teplice : 39% (▲ 16%)
27% (▲ 10%)
Jablonec : 33% (▼ 27%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 3 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 0%
AWAY : 67%

Based on Home team = 2.4 (39%) Trend: 14 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 14%
AWAY : 43%


Football

Odds Trend: 27 game(s)

HOME : 44%
D : 19%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 2.4 (39%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 27%
D : 36%
AWAY : 37%


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